Oy! Promotion cycle convos are always tricky to navigate because it depends on a few factors.
1) What does your company policy say about promotion cycles within your org? I'd start here first. Depending what this says, you can use this as leverage.
2) Have you been documenting your wins? You need to be able to articulate top-to-bottom as to why you believe you are deserving of a promotion. And with this documentation, does it tell a strong enough case that YOU SHOULD be eligible for promotion? This documentation is key and should help support your case.
3) I think you need to have another convo with your manager to get explicitly clear about what it takes to get promoted. Y'all have spoke on it a few months so maybe something changed. I recommend having items 1 and 2 in order before you meet about item 3.
While we all know promotions are never guaranteed, just continue to focus YOU. Do not let your manager or other promotions get in your head about it (I know it is easier said then done because I've been there). If anything, document exactly what was said to you (time/date, etc).
Once you have familiarized yourself with the company's policy around promotions, and you have your promotion elevator pitch on why you believe you should be promoted, then meet with your manager again presenting everything you have.
Depending on their response, if they say "you aren't ready" etc, find out why and what it would take? (Is it more training? Is it taking on a more visible project, etc?)
Document what happened in this meeting and depending on that outcome, I would then look into escalating the matter further or, it could be a sign that you might want to start looking elsewhere, including transferring out of that team if there are no growth opportunities for you there.
Keep your head up. You've got this --- sometimes, we have to be our own cheerleader first. I hope you get the clarity you need to make an informed decision on whether or not you have growth path in your company. Good luck to you!
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