Congrats on being a top finalist! It's hard to quantify chances as you must know first how many candidates are in the pool interviewing. There is data probably in the company that you are in the top 3 of how many candidates they received, how many were declined, how many declined an offer to interview, etc. Focus on getting a job, and not worry about the chances. Think of it like this, if you get an interview, you have a chance. We lose 100% of the shots we don't take. You took a shot, are interviewing and afterwards be sure to send a follow up email not only reiterating your interest but in bullet format within the email list at least the top 3 reasons you are qualified. End it with this... I look forward to a favorable reply. I've done this and got the job. It works. And I also hired people for a living. If you don't follow up, you are not relevant. Be sure to send thank you notes by email, then send one via snail mail, have it ready to mail after the interview, then 2 weeks later if you haven't heard back email again.
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